Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 44.768154 51.466671 58.442184 66.216776 74.609006 83.365770 93.164379
2024-10-06 35.270169 44.742101 55.177483 67.395590 81.181814 96.138598 113.476024
2024-10-13 29.865821 40.840357 53.445286 68.721538 86.476219 106.225832 129.624145
2024-10-20 24.788189 36.494276 50.486163 67.987847 88.868052 112.597244 141.227736
2024-10-27 20.240946 32.159909 46.988355 66.110008 89.485681 116.571853 149.785514
2024-11-03 18.548875 31.221113 47.459966 68.859712 95.465835 126.703864 165.423460
2024-11-10 16.723357 29.865144 47.213828 70.565116 100.068910 135.139186 179.043891
2024-11-17 14.174806 27.204029 45.022402 69.596809 101.212746 139.308860 187.521262
2024-11-24 11.987002 24.796050 42.951837 68.595418 102.161807 143.127881 195.494494
2024-12-01 10.461527 23.200482 41.851359 68.749476 104.482389 148.563837 205.384247
2024-12-08 9.148118 21.775509 40.866335 68.956657 106.796590 153.945335 215.186138
2024-12-15 8.108034 20.669822 40.246667 69.587231 109.609993 159.922491 225.713941
2024-12-22 6.811109 18.963996 38.635815 68.783345 110.523479 163.542195 233.415450
2024-12-29 6.111881 18.247977 38.474732 69.992991 114.109321 170.568410 245.392856
2025-01-05 5.520116 17.651277 38.443440 71.350255 117.874153 177.822303 257.672899
2025-01-12 4.602464 16.253574 37.023435 70.599120 118.710470 181.267248 265.147039
2025-01-19 3.619725 14.513880 34.894324 68.676177 117.840347 182.428287 269.682288
2025-01-26 3.472875 14.636305 35.906867 71.491758 123.572903 192.246947 285.269271
2025-02-02 3.184045 14.373121 36.226572 73.237524 127.808167 200.113335 298.394558
2025-02-09 2.572198 13.175272 34.814501 72.246346 128.136091 202.793672 304.862819
2025-02-16 2.045241 12.048087 33.430272 71.221176 128.358387 205.295575 311.078670
2025-02-23 1.711213 11.370334 32.818598 71.378901 130.252000 210.017800 320.167044
2025-03-02 1.425124 10.749550 32.263086 71.591008 132.203268 214.810332 329.353117